Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.010954 0.013260 0.016155 0.020146 0.025655 0.033236 0.044933
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.007695 0.010058 0.013389 0.018670 0.027369 0.042320 0.073475
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.006133 0.008394 0.011815 0.017763 0.028868 0.051597 0.113896
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.005278 0.007490 0.011033 0.017689 0.031585 0.065290 0.191206
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004759 0.006972 0.010705 0.018239 0.035803 0.086971 0.372124
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004294 0.006446 0.010224 0.018308 0.039000 0.110444 0.741772
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003823 0.005834 0.009460 0.017536 0.039654 0.126790 1.334461
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003487 0.005407 0.008962 0.017210 0.041448 0.152194 3.129969
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003323 0.005261 0.008980 0.018096 0.047706 0.218077 27.694781
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003227 0.005224 0.009206 0.019588 0.057523 0.355366 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003133 0.005178 0.009403 0.021087 0.069237 0.619649 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002940 0.004914 0.009074 0.020973 0.073640 0.855907 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002721 0.004599 0.008637 0.020593 0.077724 1.249678 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002459 0.004176 0.007897 0.019077 0.074275 1.396616 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002261 0.003864 0.007377 0.018143 0.073787 1.765565 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002131 0.003678 0.007133 0.018067 0.079139 3.070052 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002045 0.003576 0.007075 0.018633 0.090462 8.691917 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001946 0.003435 0.006897 0.018703 0.098506 28.453095 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001821 0.003227 0.006521 0.017909 0.097804 57.994535 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001726 0.003077 0.006277 0.017572 0.101523 382.169935 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001685 0.003043 0.006334 0.018485 0.121414 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001666 0.003053 0.006513 0.020022 0.156335 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001643 0.003055 0.006669 0.021570 0.202522 NaN NaN